Nguva pfupi yadarika, mitengo yekutakura yenzira dzakakurumbira paShanghai Shipping Exchange yadonha imwe mushure meimwe, uyemusika wekutakura midziyo muChinahaisisiri "yakaoma kuwana".Kunyange zvazvo mutengo wekutakura wakaderera munguva pfupi, uchiri pamwero wepamusoro munguva yepakati uye yakareba.Makambani ekumusoro haana kukanganiswa nekuti ane huwandu hukuru hwemaodha enguva refu, uye mamwevanotakura zvinhuvari kutengesa nzvimbo nemitengo yakaderera nekuda kwekuderedzwa kwehuwandu hwekutakura zvinhu.Kune vanotengesa kunze kwenyika, kudonha kwenhumbi kwadzikisira kudzvanywa kwemitengo yekutumira.Munguva yepakati uye yakareba nguva, kudiwa kwepakati uye pasi kusvika kwekutakura mudziyoindasitiri inodzikira nepo kuwanikwa kuri kumusoro kunowedzera, uye indasitiri iri kushanduka zvishoma nezvishoma kubva pakushomeka kwekupa kuenda kune yakawandisa.

Kugadziriswa kwemitengo kune nzira dzakawanda

Sekureva kwemutori wenhau kubva kuChina Securities Journal, kudonha kwemutengo munzira kubva kuChina kuenda kuEurope uye United States ndiko kuri pachena.Chikonzero chikuru ndechekuti kudiwa kwemidziyo kwadzikira, uye indasitiri yekutakura midziyo yakasangana nekuwanda kwenguva pfupi.

MuChina mudziyo wekutakuraindasitiri, vatakuri vekutakura zvinhu ndivo vane simba guru pakati pemvura.Sezambuko pakati pevaridzi vemitoro nemakambani ekutakura, zvipingamupinyi zvekupinda zvakaderera, huwandu hwakakura, huwandu hwakaderera, uye musika wakakamukana.

Zvinonzwisiswa kuti muketani yeindasitiri yeindasitiri yekutakura midziyo yepasi rose, mukuwedzera kumakambani ekutakura zvinhu epakati pemvura, kumusoro kwepamusoro kunosanganisira varidzi vezvikepe nemakambani ekutakura, akadai semibatanidzwa mikuru mitatu ye liner, iyo iri misika yakanyanyisa;nepo kudzika kwakadzika kunotongwa nemakambani ane chekuita nekupinza uye kutengesa kunze kwenyika., kusanganisira asi kwete chete kune vatengesi nemakambani ekugadzira, musika wakakamukana.

Tichitarisa kubva kumaitiro achangoburwa emitengo yekutakura mumigwagwa yakakurumbira, mitengo yenzira dzakadai seFar East-Europe neFar East-North America yese yadzikira.Tichitarisa kubva kumashoko achangoburwa, chiyero chekutakura kwenzira yeShanghai-West America yakatorwa paUS$7,116/FEU, ichidzika ne11% kubva pakutanga kwegore;mutengo wekutakura wenzira yeShanghai-Europe yakatorwa paUS$5,697/TEU, yakaderera ne26.7% kana ichienzaniswa nekutanga kwegore.Kunze kweiyo nzira yeJapan, nzira dziri mune mamwe matunhu dzakaramba kune akasiyana madhigirii.

Zvinoenderana nedata kubva kuShanghai Shipping Exchange, iyo Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) yakadonha kwemavhiki mana akateedzana, ichiratidza kuderera kwese kubva pakutanga kwegore.Kubva pasvondo raChikunguru 8, 2022, iyo SCFI composite index yaive pa4143.87, yakadzika 19% kubva pakutanga kwegore uye ichikwira 5.4% gore negore.

Kumanikidzwa kwemitengo yemabhizinesi ekunze kunorerutswa

Kana zviri zvikonzero zvekudzikira kwemitengo yekutakura midziyo, kune rimwe divi, kudiwa kwezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika muhupfumi hukuru seEurope neUnited States kwadzikira, chinova chiri chikonzero chikuru chekudzikira kwazvino kwemitengo yekutakura zvinhu.Mitsetse yekutakura zvinhu yakaderera zvakanyanya.Kudivi rekupa, kune rumwe rutivi, yepasirese mudziyo wemidziyo yakakura zvine mwero.Data yeClarkson inoratidza kuti kubva muna Chikumi 2022, huwandu hwese hwekutakura midziyo yepasi rose hunosvika mamirioni makumi maviri neshanu TEU, kuwedzera kwemamiriyoni mazana matatu nemazana matanhatu eTEU kubva pakutanga kwegore.Kuwedzera kwehuwandu kunopawo kumwe kukurudzira kwekuderera kwemitengo yekutakura.

Mumwe muongorori wezvekufambiswa kwengarava akaudza mutori wenhau weChina Securities Journal, “Munguva pfupi yapfuura, kutaurwa kweramangwana kwakadzikira.Kare, nzira yeUS yaikwezva zvakawanda zvekufungidzira kudiwa, asi mamiriro ehupfumi ekunze egore rino adzikira, pamwe nekukanganisa kwenjodzi dzakasiyana siyana, mafungiro ekufungidzira aderera, uye kutakura zvinhu kwakaderera.Zvipo zvadzikiswa.”

Zvakakosha kutaura kuti Baltic Sea Freight Index (FBX), iyo iri pedyo nehuwandu hwekutakura kwemutengesi wekutakura, yakaderera zvakanyanya, zvichiratidza kuenderera mberi kwekuderera kwemutengo wemutengo pakati pemutengo wekutakura uye quotation yekambani yekutumira.

Mutori wenhau akadzidza kuti kudonha kwemitengo yekutakura zvinhu kune zvakanyanya kukosha kumakambani epakati nepasi, nepo makambani ekufambisa ekumusoro akasaina nhamba huru yezvibvumirano zvenguva refu nemitengo yakakwira uye hazvina kukanganiswa panguva ino.Kune makambani ekutumira, ikozvino nzvimbo yekushandiswa kwenzvimbo yekubva kubva kuShanghai Port ichiri inenge 90%, uye kusaina kwesangano renguva refu gore rino rakanaka kwazvo, iro rakagadzira imwe vimbiso kune purofiti yemakambani ekutumira.

Makambani eChina Freight kutumirazvino vatarisana nedzvinyiriro huru.Kuderera kwekudiwa kwemhiri kwemakungwa kwakaunza imwe kurasikirwa kwehuwandu hwekutakura zvinhu, uye kuwedzera kwechikamu chevafambi vakananga kwakawedzera kudzvanya chikamu chemusika chekutumira zvinhu;kumakambani akadzika, kuderera kwekutakura uye kuchinja kwezvikepe.

Kuwana chiyero chitsva pakati pekupa uye kudiwa

Musika wepasi rose wekutakura midziyo wachinja kubva pa "zvakaoma kuwana bhokisi" kuenda "kutengesa mabhokisi nemutengo wakaderera", zvichiratidza kuti kupa uye kudiwa maitiro eindasitiri yekutakura midziyo iri kuchinja.

Gore rino inzvimbo inflection yeindasitiri yekutakura midziyo.Nekukwira kwemitengo kwakakwira muEurope nekuUnited States, shanduko yegwaro remari uye njodzi yakawedzera yekuderera kwehupfumi, zvakaoma kuti mitengo yekutakura midziyo irambe ichikwira.

Tichitarisa kumashure kutenderera kwazvino kwepasi rosekutakura mudziyomutengo unowedzera, kubvira pakatanga denda muna 2020, China yakatungamira mukutanga basa nekugadzira.Panguva imwe cheteyo, pasi porubatsiro rwemari uye mitemo yokurerutsa mari muEurope neUnited States, nhamba huru yezvinhu zvinotengwa kunze kwenyika yave ichidiwa.Kudiwa kwekutakurwa kwemidziyo kwakura zvakanyanya.Pamusoro pezvo, nekuda kwedenda uye kusawirirana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa, kutsvikinyidzana kwechiteshi uye kunonoka kwekuchinja kwakanaka kwakawedzera kukwira kwemitengo.Mushure mekupinda muna 2022, yakakanganiswa nekunetsana pakati peRussia neUkraine, inflation muhupfumi hwakawanda pasi rose huchakwira, uye kudiwa kwezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kuEurope neUnited States kuchadzikira.Munguva yepakati uye kwenguva refu, indasitiri yekutakura midziyo iri kushanduka zvishoma nezvishoma kubva pakushomeka kwekupa kuenda kune yakawandisa.

Munguva pfupi, mutengo wekutakura hausati wapinda munhanho yekukurumidza kuderera, uye huwandu hwehuwandu hwehuwandu hwehuwandu hwegore rino hucharamba huchikwira uye husina simba.Kutariswa kwedivi rekupa kuchiri pakusangana kwechiteshi.Nekuuya kwemwaka wepamusoro-soro uye njodzi yekuramwa mabasa, kutsvikinyidzana kwezviteshi muEurope neUnited States kwawedzera kusvika pamwero wakasiyana.Naizvozvo, zvakaoma kuti mitengo yekutakura iderere muchikamu chechitatu;muchikamu chechina, zvibvumirano zvemagetsi zvinogona kunyatsopindura kuderera kwekudiwa nekugadzirisa nzendo, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti chiyero chekuderera kwemitengo yekutakura mukota yechina haizove yakakurumidza.Tichitarisira 2023, nhamba huru yezvikepe zvitsva zvichatangwa, kuchinjika kwekugadzirisa masimba kuchadzikira, uye kudiwa kuchawedzera kupera simba, uye mitengo yekutakura yemidziyo inogona kupinda munhanho yekukurumidza kuderera.

Mumamiriro ezvinhu ekudonha kwemitengo yekutumira uye kuwandisa kwemidziyo, vanotengesa kunze kweChinese vanofanirwa kungwarira pakusarudza kwavo.vanotakura zvinhu muChina.Panzvimbo pekutevera upofu mitengo yakaderera, zviri nani kusarudza kambani yepasirese inotakura zvinhu inovimbiswa uye inodhura-inodhura kukwirisa mitengo uye kuwedzera purofiti.Shenzhen Focus Global Logistics Co., Ltd.yave ichibatanidzwa zvakanyanya muindastiri kwemakore 21, uye yakachengetedza hukama hwepedyo uye hushamwari hwekubatana nemakambani akawanda anozivikanwa ekutumira.Nemitengo inobatsira yekutumira, kubva pakuona kwevatengi, inopa iyo inonyanya kudhura-inoshandacross-border logistics uye zvigadziriso zvekufambisa kubva kuChina. If you have business needs, please feel free to contact us – TEL: 0755-29303225, E-mail: info@view-scm.com, and look forward to cooperating with you!